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Showing posts from December, 2021

EUR/USD Pair Started a Steady Recovery from 1.1260 Support

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The Euro found support near the 1.1260 level against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair started a steady recovery wave above the 1.1280 and 1.1300 levels. It is now moving higher above 1.1320 and the 50 hourly simple moving average. An immediate resistance near the 1.1325 level. There is also a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1335 on the hourly chart. The next major resistance is near the 1.1350 level. A break above the 1.1335 and 1.1350 resistance levels could lead the pair towards the 1.1388 zone, above which the pair could even break the 1.1400 level. On the downside, an initial support is near the 1.1310 level. The key support is near 1.1300, below which there is a risk of a move towards 1.1280 on FXOpen. The next major support is near the 1.1260 level. December 24, 2021 at 10:32PM FXOpen https://ift.tt/32uGpC0

WTI Oil Futures Meet December’s Bar; Bullish Bias Still in Play

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WTI oil futures (February delivery) paused their two-day advance near December’s resistance zone of 73.10. Although some consolidation is likely around that ceiling,  the bulls could soon recharge their batteries according to the momentum indicators. The RSI has breached its previous highs, stretching its uptrend slightly above the 50 neutral mark. The MACD continues to gain ground above its red signal line, while the rising Stochastics have yet to reach their 80 overbought level, all reflecting improving sentiment in the market. Should the  73.10  bar give way, with the price closing clearly above the 50% Fibonacci of the 61.27 – 85.39 upleg too, the bullish action could pick up steam towards the 38.2% Fibonacci of 76.37. A tentative descending trendline drawn from the seven-year high of 85.39 could add some downside pressures around the same region. However, if it fails to act, the way will clear towards the 23.6% Fibonacci of 79.82. On the downside, the 61.8% Fibona...

EURJPY’s Ascent Slows, and Neutral Tone Strengthens

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EURJPY is struggling to extend its latest rally, which began around 127.50, beyond the December 16 high of 129.63. The converging simple moving averages (SMAs) are hinting that a more neutral price development may evolve confined now between a lower limit of 127.30-127.50 and an upper limit of 129.53. The horizontal blue Kijun-sen line and the stalling in the ascent of the red Tenkan-sen line are together signalling feeble upside pressures, while the short-term oscillators are reflecting that buyers are losing command. The MACD, in the positive region, is fading above its red trigger line, while the RSI is dipping in bullish territory. The stochastic oscillator has turned bearish promoting the surge in negative price action. If selling interest increases, an initial zone from the 129.08 low until the 200-period SMA at 128.93 could prevent the negative trajectory from gaining pace. However, if the price moves lower, a reinforced support area from 128.57 until the 100-period SMA at 12...

What’s In Store For EUR/USD Into Yearend?

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End of year markets can be extremely difficult to trade. EUR/USD is no exception. On one hand they can be extremely quiet as many big money funds have wrapped up trading for the year. Why risk losing profits as we head into the last two trading weeks of the year? These funds may have even been out of the market before the central bank meetings last week due to the uncertainty! However, on the other hand, there can also bursts of volatility due to the illiquid markets. If someone, such as a trader for a pension fund, needs to get a position on in a product, he or she can move the markets, as there may not be many traders on the opposite side of the trade. Therefore, when trading at year end, it is best to take a longer-term view of the markets. If traders use smaller positions and wider stops, they are less likely to get taken out by any volatility. EUR/USD has been moving in a downward sloping channel since reaching May 26th. However, the pair posted a false breakdown at the bottom tr...

Gold Eases Below 1,800 and Short-Term SMAs

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Gold could not find enough buyers to overcome the 1,800 level during the previous sessions, with the spotlight shifting again towards the 1,784 support zone and the Ichimoku cloud. The RSI and the MACD continue to flatten, while the former has also slipped back below its neutral threshold of 50, feeding pessimism that the bulls may gave up the battle. An extension below 1,784 could activate a stronger bearish wave towards the 1,7661 level. Failure to hold above that floor could see a continuation towards the 1,745-1,750 restrictive region. The 1,800 round number, could challenge any bullish attempts towards the 200-day SMA, which stands near the 1,809 barrier. Any breakout above this region may gather extra interest, with the price likely speeding up to 1,815. Yet, only a rally above 1,850 would violate the neutral trajectory and hence add credence to the bullish run. In brief, despite the latest rebound off ...

GOLD Respects Moving Averages

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The price for gold passed the support of the 100-hour simple moving average near 1,790.00 on Tuesday afternoon. However, the price almost immediately found support in the 200-hour simple moving average, which kept the rate up until the middle of Wednesday. At mid-day on Wednesday, the price was approached by the resistance of the 50-hour SMA. If the 50-hour SMA causes a decline, the price would need to pass the 200-hour simple moving average near 1,787.00, before aiming at the lower trend line of a channel down pattern near 1,775.00. On the other hand, a recovery of the bullion would have to reach above the 50-hour SMA near 1,792.00. Afterwards, the upper trend line of the channel down pattern could act as resistance near 1,793.50. Close nearby, note the 100-hour simple moving average at 1,795.70. December 23, 2021 at 12:20AM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/3Eo5KL4

USD/JPY Reaches New High Level

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The USD/JPY succeeded at its second attempt to reach a new December high level. By the middle of Wednesday’s European trading hours, the rate had reached above the 114.30 level. If the USD continues to gain against the Japanese Yen, the pair would have no technical resistance as high as the weekly R2 simple pivot point at 114.86. However, the pair needs to clearly pass the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 114.30. A potential decline of the rate might look for support in the 114.00 mark and the zone at 113.88/113.95. Slightly below, take into account the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages and the weekly simple pivot point at 113.85/113.72. December 23, 2021 at 12:05AM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/3srLTbz

GBP/USD Extends Its Surge

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The GBP/USD currency exchange rate has continued to move higher. At mid-day on Wednesday, the rate left below it the hourly simple moving averages, the weekly simple pivot point and the high level resistance zone near 1.3280. By 12:00 GMT, the GBP had reached the 1.3320 mark against the USD. A continuation of the surge of the Pound against the US Dollar could result in the rate reaching the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.3357 and the December high level at 1.3375. Meanwhile, a decline of the pair might look for support in the previously passed technical levels. Namely, note the 50, 100 and 200-hour simple moving averages, the weekly simple pivot point and the previous high level zone. All of these levels and indicators are located in the 1.3240/1.3290 zone. December 23, 2021 at 12:04AM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/3mq9dTe

EUR/USD Ignores Previous Levels

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During late Tuesday hours and early Wednesday’s trading, the EUR/USD reached both below support and above resistance. The pair reached two times below the support of the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1276. At mid-day on Wednesday, the pair had recovered and moved above the 1.1302/1.1305 resistance zone. In the case that the pair surges, it could reach for the resistance of the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.1329. Above the pivot point, note the December high level resistance zone near the 1.1360 level. On the other hand, a potential decline of the Euro against the USD would need to pass the recent low levels and the 1.1260 mark, before aiming at the December low level zone at 1.1228/1.1236. December 23, 2021 at 12:03AM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/3sqVFKZ

GBP/USD Outlook: Cable Rises For The Second Day Despite Downbeat UK GDP Data

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Cable keeps bullish tone for the second straight day and hit weekly high above 1.33 mark, following minor negative impact from weaker than expected. UK GDP and improved sentiment on expectations that Omicron may cause limited damage to the economy that revived risk appetite. Fresh bulls eye pivotal barrier at 1.3337 (50% retracement of 1.3513/1.3161 bear-leg/Daily Kijun-sen), close above which would sideline larger bears and open way for a stronger correction. Broken 20DMA offers solid support at 1.3266, with close above here required to keep near-term bias with bulls. Rising 14-d momentum is breaking into positive territory and supporting the action. Res: 1.3337, 1.3353, 1.3379, 1.3430. Sup: 1.3266, 1.3240, 1.3197, 1.3164. December 23, 2021 Windsor Brokers Ltd https://ift.tt/3edAdks

US 500 Rebounds After Sharp Sell-Off, Bullish Bias Arises

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The US 500 stock index (cash) is trying to stage a full rebound after its short-term downtrend ceased at the 4,530 level in the four-hour chart. Although the index has already recouped half of its recent losses, its upside move is meeting some resistance near the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). The index’s recent recovery is likely to resume as the momentum indicators reinforce the positive near-term picture. Specifically, the MACD histogram is found well above its red signal line in the negative area, while the RSI has flatlined above its 50-neutral mark. Should the bullish momentum intensify further, immediate resistance could be encountered at the recent high of 4,652, which overlaps with the 50-period simple moving average (SMA). Overcoming this barrier, the price might ascend towards the 4,674 region. Conquering this barricade, buyers could send the price to challenge 4,713 or higher to test the 4,732 obstacle. On the flipside, bearish actions could meet initial support ...

USD/JPY Pair Is Now Correcting Lower From The 114.20 High

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The US Dollar started a fresh increase from the 113.10 zone against the Japanese Yen. The USD/JPY pair broke the key 113.40 resistance zone to move into a positive zone. The pair even broke the 113.65 resistance and settled above the 50 hourly simple moving average. A high was formed near 114.20 and it is now correcting lower. An immediate resistance is near the 114.20 level. The first major resistance is near the 114.40 level, above which the pair could rise steadily. The next major resistance is near the 114.80 level. An initial support on the downside is near 114.00 on FXOpen. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 113.85 on the hourly chart, below which USD/JPY might drop towards the 113.50 support zone. The next major support sits near the 113.20 level. December 22, 2021 at 09:14PM FXOpen https://ift.tt/3yMVJGh

Risk Sentiment Flip-Flops, Canadian Dollar Shrugs Retail Sales

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Risk Sentiment Flip-Flops, Canadian Dollar Shrugs Retail Sales Dec 21 21, 13:47 GMT Risk sentiment continues to flip-flop in pre-holiday markets. Major European indexes and US futures are trading slightly higher. Swiss Franc, Yen and Dollar are all trading generally lower, while Kiwi and Aussie are trading higher with Sterling. Canadian Dollar appears to be getting little support from better than expected retail sales data. Technically, gold appears to be supported by 4 hour 55 EMA and recovers. It has yet recaptured 1800 handle yet. For now, further rise is in favor as long as 1781.99 minor support holds. Break of 1814.06 will target 1877.05 resistance. However, below 1781.99 will bring retest of 1752.32 support instead. In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.99%. DAX is up 1.14%. CAC is up 1.06%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0462 at -0.320. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.08%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.0%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.88%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.39%. J...

EUR/USD Finds Support In Pivot Point

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Since mid-Monday, the EUR/USD has been fluctuating between the support of the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1276 and the resistance of the 1.1302/1.1305 zone. In the case that the rate drops below the weekly simple pivot point at 1.1276, a potential decline would have no support as low as the December low level zone at 1.1228/1.1236. However, if the Euro surges against the US Dollar, a move above the 1.1302/1.1305 zone could aim at the weekly R1 simple pivot point at 1.1329. Higher above, note the December high level zone below 1.1360. December 21, 2021 at 11:31PM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/3efBEip

AUD/USD Recahes Below 0.7100

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On Monday morning, the AUD/USD currency exchange rate reached below the 0.7100 level. However, after shortly trading below 0.7100, the rate recovered. By the middle of the day’s trading, the pair had no resistance as high as the 0.7140 level, where a resistance zone was located at. Above the zone, the 50 and 200-hour simple moving averages and the weekly simple pivot point are located near 0.7150. Meanwhile, a decline of the pair is most likely going to find support in the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 0.7070. December 20, 2021 at 11:45PM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/3EkjpmE

EUR/JPY Reaches Low Level Zone

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The EUR/JPY currency exchange rate has reached the December low level zone at 127.40/127.65. The zone provided enough support for a recovery to start. By the middle of Monday’s trading hours, the pair had reached the 128.00 mark. If the rate continues to surge, resistance could be met at the 128.40 level, where the 50 and 200-hour simple moving averages, the weekly simple pivot point and a previous low level zone are located at. Higher above, the 129.00 mark might act as resistance. On the other hand, a potential decline of the Euro against the Japanese Yen might once again look for support in the 127.40/127.65 zone, before reaching the weekly S1 simple pivot point at 127.18. December 20, 2021 at 11:44PM Dukascopy Swiss FX Group https://ift.tt/32kDwDC

German Economy May Shrink This Quarter on Covid, Bundesbank Says

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German Economy May Shrink This Quarter on Covid, Bundesbank Says Forex 51 minutes ago (Dec 20, 2021 06:54AM ET) © Reuters. German Economy May Shrink This Quarter on Covid, Bundesbank Says (Bloomberg) -- Germany’s economy, Europe’s largest, may contract this quarter as resurgent coronavirus infections trigger fresh curbs and keep shoppers at home, according to the Bundesbank. Activity in some service sectors is “significantly hampered,” the central bank said Monday in its monthly report. While the hit to sales should be smaller than a year ago as current restrictions are less severe and only cover a comparatively short period of time, a persistent squeeze on supplies is adding extra strains. Business confidence slipped for a sixth month in December, with gauges for current conditions and expectations both worsening. The Bundesbank last week lowered its economic-growth forecasts for this year and next, warning of a winter setback. It predicted a strong pickup in momentum in th...

Dollar Stands Tall after A Week of Central Bank Surprises

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Dollar Stands Tall after A Week of Central Bank Surprises Dec 18 21, 12:06 GMT It was a very volatile week full of central bank surprises. Fed indicated that there would be as many as three rate hikes next year. BoE surprised by raising the Bank Rate. Even ECB turned out to be less dovish as expected. But in the end, if was the late selloff in the stock markets that finalized that over tone. We would like to point out that in the background, there were still some worries over the fast spread of Omicron. Risk of return to tougher restrictions, prolonged supply bottlenecks and more persistent high inflation are realistically there. At the same time, major central banks are clearly turning more hawkish on inflation. Hence, the stock markets were indeed rather resilient in this context. Friday’s selloff was probably more because of “quadruple witching”. But we’ll have to see how it goes in January. In the currency markets, Dollar ended as the strongest one, followed by Sterling and Y...