EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1846; (P) 1.1878; (R1) 1.1903; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Current development argues that a short term bottom is formed at 1.1751. Above 1.1907 will target 1.1974 resistance first. Firm break there should argue that whole corrective pattern from 1.2348 has completed. On the downside, however, break of 1.1751 will resume the fall from 1.2265 to 1.1703 support instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0635 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0339 (2017 low). Further rally could be seen to cluster resistance at 1.2555 next, (38.2% retracement of 1.6039 to 1.0339 at 1.2516). This will remain the favored case as long as 1.1602 support holds. Reaction from 1.2555 should reveal underlying long term momentum in the pair. However sustained break of 1.1602 will argue that the rise from 1.0635 is over, and turn medium term outlook bearish again.

August 03, 2021 at 01:34AM
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