Wednesday 29 September 2021

Oil is showing some impressive resilience ahead of the weekly inventory report

EIA data is coming up at the bottom of the hour

I expected to see more of a retracement in oil after yesterday's turnaround but today's price action in the face of a dollar rally has been encouraging for the bulls.

WTI is trading back above $75 and down only fractionally on the day after falling as low as $73.74. We're at the session highs.

EIA data is coming up at the bottom of the hour

The next big hurdle is the EIA data at the bottom of the hour. Yesterday's API data sent a bearish shudder through the market and there's a high risk the EIA data could as well, though some of that will now be priced in.

Consensus:

  • Oil -1652K
  • Gasoline +1400K
  • Distillates -1648K
  • Refinery utilization +0.5%

API:

  • Oil 4127K
  • Gasoline +3555K
  • Distillates +2483K
  • Cushing +359K

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September 30, 2021 at 02:11AM
Adam Button
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